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Category: Economics


牛市賺錢多不厲害,熊市虧錢少才是真本事

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Netflix $NFLX disclosed that Co-CEO and President Ted Sarandos' total compensation for 2023 was $49.8 million, DOWN from $50.3 million in 2022.

Additionally, Co-CEO and President Greg Peters' total compensation for 2023 was $40.1 million, UP from $28.1 million in 2022.


Here’s how the 🇺🇸 is spending money on building domestic semiconductor manufacturing


$NFLX Netflix Q1 FY24:

• Subscribers +9M Q/Q to 270M.
• Revenue +15% Y/Y to $9.4B ($0.1B beat).
• Operating margin 28% (+7pp Y/Y).
• EPS $5.28 ($0.76 beat).

Q2 FY24 Guidance:
• Revenue +16% Y/Y.
• Operating margin 27%.


$TSLA's new car registrations in Europe have DECLINED by -4.7% YTD compared to the last year.

In March, Tesla experienced a substantial DROP of -30.4% YoY on new registration.

March 2024 also saw the BIGGEST DROP in EU car sales in 16 months.

Despite this, Tesla's market share in Europe increased to 2.8% overall, including BEV, ICE vehicles, hybrids, etc.

Battery-electric car registrations declined by 11.3% to 134,400 units.

The market share for fully electric cars in March fell to 13% from last year's 13.9%, while hybrid-electric vehicles saw an increase to 29% from 24.4%.

Source: ACEA


$BX | Blackstone Q1 Fiscal Earnings Highlights:

🔹 EPS: $1.11 (Est. $0.96) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $3.69B (Est. $2.44B) 🟢
🔹 Inflows: $34.04B (Est. $39.9B) 🔴
🔹 AUM: $1.06T (Est. $1.07T) 🔴
🔹 Total Segment Revenue: $2.55B (Est. $2.44B) 🟢
🔹 Distributable EPS: 98c (Est. 96c) 🟢
🔹 Fee-Related EPS: 95c

Key Financial Metrics:
🔸 Distributable Earnings: $1.27B
🔸 Fee-Related Earnings: $1.16B
🔸 Net Income: $847.4M, significantly up from $85.8M the previous year

Investment Activities:
🔸 Deployed $24.5B during the quarter
🔸 Capital markets activity robust, with significant deployment

Dividend:
🔹 Declares Quarterly Dividend of 83c Per Share

CEO Commentary:
🔸 'Blackstone's first-quarter results reflect accelerating momentum in our private credit and private wealth businesses, and a strong transaction environment offering attractive capital deployment opportunities.'


$SPY $QQQ | Today's Key Events (All EST)

BMO: $NOK, $TSM, $ELV, $KEY, $DHI, $CMA, $MMC, $SNA
AMC: $NFLX, $ISRG, $WAL, $PPG

08:30: Philadelphia Fed Mfg.
08:30: Initial jobless claims
09:05: Fed Bowman
09:05: Fed Williams
10:00: Existing home sales
10:00: Fed Bostic
17:45: Fed Bostic


$TSM TSMC Q1 FY24:

• Revenue +17% Y/Y $18.9B ($0.3B beat).
• Gross margin 53% (-3pp Y/Y).
• Operating margin 42% (-3pp Y/Y).
• Capex $5.8B.
• EPADR $1.38 ($0.06 beat).

3nm & 5nm were 9% & 37% of revenue.


#TSMC $TSM announces its 1Q24 financial results on April 18 as the company reported consolidated revenues of US$18.87B, a QoQ decrease of 3.8% but a 12.9% YoY increase. It has slightly outperformed the expected range of $18 to $18.8B.

Looking at sales of process technology, revenues from TSMC's 7-nm and more advanced processes contributed 65%! Breaking it down, the 3-nm process saw its revenue contribution decline from 15% in the previous quarter to 9%, while the 5-nm and 7-nm processes increased their shares by 2 percentage points each, accounting for 37% and 19%, respectively.

Revenue distribution by technology platform showed that HPC and smart mobile platforms accounted for 46% and 38% of total revenue, respectively. IoT, automotive, consumer electronics, and others made up 6%, 6%, 2%, and 2% respectively.

The global top ten semiconductor foundries would see a potential annual revenue increase of 12% in 2024, reaching $125.24B, driven by AI-related demand. Benefiting from steady orders for advanced processes, TSMC's growth rate is expected to significantly outperform the industry average.








昨日今晨重要新聞彙整(4月18日)

國際新聞:
1. 日本將啟動第五輪核污染水排海。
2. 伊朗正為以色列報復性襲擊做好準備。
3. 白宮重新展開內部討論,考慮啟動氣候緊急狀態。
4. 高盛:預計2024年精煉銅將出現非常顯著的供應短缺,明年Q1銅價將漲至1.2萬美元。
5. 認定馬杜羅未能履行與選舉有關的協議,美國將重新對委內瑞拉實施油氣制裁。
6. 紐約聯儲預測:美聯儲縮表行動或在2025年停止,資產負債表規模可能降至6兆美元。
7. 美聯儲褐皮書:美國經濟略有擴張,企業轉嫁成本的難度顯著上升;薪資壓力緩和,人們對經濟持謹慎樂觀態度。
8. 數據-國際原油結算價跌超3%;中國2月減持230億美元美債,日本增持160億美元;日本3月份月度遊客人數首次超過300萬人。

中國新聞:
1. 商務部:美貿易代表辦公室宣布發起針對中國海事、物流和造船業的301調查。中方對此強烈不滿,堅決反對。
2. 中美金融工作組舉行第四次會議;中美經濟工作組舉行第四次會議。
3. 發改委:18日將組織召開全國2023年增發國債項目實施推進電視電話會議。
4. 發改委:出口商品多就是產能過剩站不住腳。
5. 發改委:積極穩妥推動低空經濟發展意義重大、前景光明。
6. 國家能源局:3月份全社會用電量同比增長7.4%。
7. 央行等三部門:進一步優化商業領域支付服,提升支付便利性。
8. 中國天瑞水泥:控股股東所持部分公司股份遭強制出售,繼續停牌。
9. 美歐稱中國存在“產能過剩”問題,外交部回應:以“產能過剩”為由採取貿易保護措施,不會讓自己變得更好。


S&P 500 Closing Bell Heatmap (Apr. 17, 2024)

$SPY -0.59% 🟥
$QQQ -1.22% 🟥
$DJI -0.14% 🟥
$IWM -0.12% 🟥


Just went to Marina Bay Sands Singapore yesterday to contributed some revenue. 😆


$LVS | Las Vegas Sands Q1 Earnings Highlights:

🔹 Adj EPS: $0.75 (Est. $0.62) 🟢
🔹 Sales: $2.96B (Est. $2.94B) 🟢

Q1 Performance Metrics:
🔸 Low Hold on Rolling Play in Macao negatively impacted EBITDA by $31M (-)
🔸 High Hold on Rolling Play at Marina Bay Sands positively impacted EBITDA by $77M (+)

🔹 Consolidated Adjusted Property EBITDA: $1.21B
🔹 Macao Adjusted Property EBITDA: $610M
🔹 Marina Bay Sands Adjusted Property EBITDA: $597M

🔸 Repurchased approximately $450M of Common Stock

CEO Robert Goldstein's Commentary:
🔸 "In Macao, our ongoing investments enhance the business and leisure tourism appeal, positioning us well as travel and tourism spending recovers."

🔸 "In Singapore, Marina Bay Sands delivered record levels of financial and operating performance. Our new suite product and elevated service offerings position us for additional growth as airlift capacity continues to improve."


Key Companies/Stocks reporting earnings on Thursday:

Before Open 👇
01:00 - Nokia $NOK
06:00 - Taiwan Semi $TSM
06:00 - Elevance Health $ELV
06:00 - Alaska Air Group $ALK
06:00 - Texas Capital Bancshares $TCBI
06:30 - Snap-On $SNA
06:30 - KeyCorp $KEY
06:30 - D.R. Horton $DHI
06:30 - Apogee Enterprises $APOG
06:40 - Comerica $CMA
07:00 - Blackstone $BX
07:00 - Iridium Communications $IRDM
07:00 - Marsh & McLennan $MMC
07:25 - Ally Financial $ALLY
07:30 - OFG Bancorp $OFG
08:00 - Infosys Technologies $INFY
08:15 - Home BancShares $HOMB
08:30 - Badger Meter $BMI

After Close 👇
16:05 - Netflix $NFLX
16:05 - Intuitive Surgical $ISRG
16:05 - PPG Industries $PPG
16:05 - Metropolitan Bank Holding $MCB
16:10 - Western Alliance $WAL
16:10 - Alpine Income Property $PINE
16:15 - SB Financial Group $SBFG
16:15 - Independent Bank $INDB
16:30 - Glacier Bancorp $GBCI


$UAL +12%; as the company reported "better-than-expected" Q1 earnings despite a $200M hit over Boeing's safety crisis.




$LLY | Eli Lilly's weight-loss drug, Zepbound, has shown promise in "reducing symptoms of obstructive sleep apnea", reducing breathing disruptions during sleep by up to 63% in two late-stage trials.

The results exceeded the expected 50-55% improvement projected by analysts and were accompanied by significant weight loss, with patients losing up to 20% of their body weight over 52 weeks.

These findings will be presented in full at the American Diabetes Association conference in June, with plans to submit the data for regulatory approval mid-year.

If approved for treating sleep apnea, Zepbound could significantly broaden the patient base eligible for insurance coverage of this costly treatment, which is priced at around $1,000 per month.

Currently, weight loss medications such as Zepbound do not receive coverage under Medicare, the U.S. federal health insurance program for the elderly and certain individuals with long-term disabilities.

This development positions Eli Lilly to compete more effectively in the weight-loss medication market, particularly against Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, which recently gained insurance coverage for certain conditions under Medicare.


$ABT | Abbott Laboratories Q1 Earnings Highlights:

🔹 Adj. EPS: $0.98 (Est. $0.95) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $9.96B (Est. $9.89B) 🟡
🔹 Organic Sales Growth in Q1: Up 4.7%

Narrowed Guidance:
🔹 FY'24 Adj. EPS: $4.55 to $4.70 (Prev. $4.50 to $4.70, Est. $4.62) 🟡
🔹 FY'24 GAAP EPS: $3.25 to $3.40

🔸 Q2'24 Adj. EPS: $1.08 to $1.12 (Est. $1.12) 🔴

Operational Highlights:
🔹 FY 2024 Organic Sales Growth Forecast: 8.5% to 10% (Excluding COVID-19 related sales)

Key Metrics and Updates:
🔹 Adjusted Net Debt to EBITDAR: 2.7x
🔹 Specified Items Impact (mostly amortization, restructuring): $1.30 per share for FY

Strategic Developments:
🔸 Raised the midpoint of full-year guidance ranges, reflecting confidence in ongoing business performance.
🔸 Noted strong performance particularly in medical device sales contributing to earnings beat.

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